England U21vs
Kazakhstan U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: England U21 3-0 Kazakhstan U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
England U21 4-2 Kazakhstan U21
Original prediction
England U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 91.0% | 87.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 14.29 | 6.6% | 8.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 38.43 | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Projected Score
England U21 3–0 Kazakhstan U21
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
England U21
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
87.0%
England U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80