England U20vs
Germany U20
COMPLETEDWorld · U20 Elite League · 10/3/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
England U20 2-1 Germany U20
Original prediction
England U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.0% | 40.0% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 26.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.7% | 33.6% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
England U20
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
England U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20