England U19vs
USA U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England U19 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
England U19 2-1 USA U19
Original prediction
England U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.5% | 39.4% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.7% | 26.4% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.9% | 34.2% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
England U19
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
England U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60