England U19vs
Norway U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England U19 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
England U19 2-1 Norway U19
Original prediction
England U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.8% | 43.1% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 27.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.5% | 29.4% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
England U19
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
England U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40