England U19vs
Belgium U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England U19 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
England U19 0-1 Belgium U19
Original prediction
England U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.5% | 50.8% | -14.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.66 | 19.5% | 25.5% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 6.09 | 14.9% | 23.7% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
England U19
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
England U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20