GGOALVIO

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Energie Cottbus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Energie Cottbus are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Energie Cottbus hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the 2. Bundesliga, while Energie Cottbus holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Energie Cottbus

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

11.2%

Energie Cottbus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Energie CottbusWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SpVgg Greuther FürthLDWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.96xG1.17
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