Energie Cottbusvs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Energie Cottbus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Energie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Original prediction
Energie Cottbus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 37.5% | 42.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.3% | 25.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 37.3% | 32.1% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Energie Cottbus
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Energie Cottbus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00