Energie Cottbusvs
FC St. Pauli
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/20/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Energie Cottbus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Energie Cottbus 1-1 FC St. Pauli
Original prediction
Energie Cottbus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.99 | 31.1% | 41.0% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.6% | 23.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 44.4% | 35.8% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Energie Cottbus
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Energie Cottbus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60