GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/5/2023, 12:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Energie Cottbus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Energie Cottbus are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 82.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Energie Cottbus holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Energie Cottbus

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Energie Cottbus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Energie CottbusLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtWLLDW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Energie CottbusFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
66.7Attack100.0
63.7Defence75.0
69.6Form83.3
67.2Power82.5
1.70xG1.31
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