Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aşgabat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Energetik are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aşgabat are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 29.9 against 29.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Ýokary Liga, while Aşgabat holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aşgabat
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Aşgabat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50