Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šencur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceŠencur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tolmin are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and šencur hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 3. SNL - West, favouring Šencur with 12.6% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šencur
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
12.6%
Šencur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŠencurLWWWD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TolminWDWWW
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
ŠencurTolmin
60.3Attack60.3
65.4Defence57.7
69.2Form57.7
65.9Power58.3
1.70xG1.13