Encarnaciónvs
Tacuary
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Encarnación · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Encarnación 1-1 Tacuary
Original prediction
Encarnación
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.8% | 41.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.9% | 28.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.3% | 30.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Encarnación
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Encarnación has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80