Encarnaciónvs
Resistencia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Encarnación 0-0 Resistencia, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Encarnación 0-3 Resistencia
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.1% | 34.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.5% | 31.2% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.4% | 34.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Encarnación 0–0 Resistencia
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.2%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EncarnaciónLWLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ResistenciaLLLLW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
EncarnaciónResistencia
32.1Attack35.9
53.8Defence59.0
28.2Form41.0
40.1Power47.5
0.82xG0.93