Encarnaciónvs
General Caballero
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 10/19/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
General Caballero · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Encarnación 3-2 General Caballero
Original prediction
General Caballero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 08:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.88 | 18.3% | 14.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.2% | 20.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 59.5% | 65.2% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
General Caballero
Probability
65.2%
Model confidence
65.2%
General Caballero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40