EncarnaciónvsDeportivo Capiata

COMPLETED

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Capiata · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Encarnación 0-0 Deportivo Capiata, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Final result

Encarnación 3-1 Deportivo Capiata

Original prediction

Deportivo Capiata

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.44	36.4%	32.5%	-3.9 pts
Draw	2.98	29.8%	29.1%	-0.6 pts
Away	2.62	33.9%	38.4%	4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.5 pts

Projected Score

Encarnación 0–0 Deportivo Capiata

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Capiata

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Deportivo Capiata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

EncarnaciónLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5

Deportivo CapiataLLWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5

EncarnaciónDeportivo Capiata

30.6Attack40.3

54.2Defence54.2

26.4Form37.5

39.3Power46.1

0.88xG1.03