EncarnaciónvsBenjamín Aceval

COMPLETED

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/31/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benjamín Aceval · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Encarnación 0-1 Benjamín Aceval, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Final result

Encarnación 1-3 Benjamín Aceval

Original prediction

Benjamín Aceval

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.92	30.8%	20.3%	-10.5 pts
Draw	3.25	27.6%	25.4%	-2.3 pts
Away	2.16	41.6%	54.4%	12.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.8 pts

Projected Score

Encarnación 0–1 Benjamín Aceval

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Benjamín Aceval

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

EncarnaciónWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5

Benjamín AcevalLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

EncarnaciónBenjamín Aceval

30.0Attack53.3

53.3Defence63.3

25.0Form58.3

38.5Power59.8

0.66xG1.46