Empolivs
Cittadella
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia · 8/12/2023, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cittadella · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Empoli are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 3.25 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Coppa Italia, while Cittadella holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cittadella
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Cittadella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 3.25/1.25
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.75/1.75