Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Emmen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Emmen 3-1 Jong AZ
Original prediction
Emmen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Emmen
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Emmen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EmmenWWWLL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Jong AZWLWWW
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EmmenJong AZ
100.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
82.3Power59.3
2.15xG1.63