Emmenvs
FC Volendam
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Volendam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Emmen 5-3 FC Volendam
Original prediction
FC Volendam
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.3% | 37.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.8% | 23.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.9% | 38.8% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Volendam
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
FC Volendam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60