Emmenvs
Almere City FC
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Almere City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Emmen 2-1 Almere City FC
Original prediction
Almere City FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.7% | 24.7% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.9% | 19.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 32.5% | 56.4% | 23.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Almere City FC
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Almere City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60