GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 11/3/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Emirates Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Emirates Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hatta SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Emirates Club hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Pro League, while Emirates Club holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Emirates Club

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Emirates Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Emirates ClubLLDWD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hatta SCLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Emirates ClubHatta SC
39.1Attack25.0
26.1Defence29.2
24.6Form13.9
32.6Power26.1
1.85xG1.15
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