GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Division 1 · 10/11/2026, 1:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Emirates Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Emirates Club 3-0 Dubai City

Original prediction

Emirates Club

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5756.7%53.8%-2.9 pts
Draw3.8423.3%23.0%-0.3 pts
Away4.4720.0%23.2%3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Emirates Club

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Emirates Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Emirates ClubLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dubai CityLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Emirates ClubDubai City
46.7Attack53.3
60.0Defence13.3
40.0Form26.7
49.7Power33.3
2.17xG1.23
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