GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 3/28/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baniyas SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Emirates Club are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Baniyas SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Baniyas SC hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Pro League, while Baniyas SC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baniyas SC

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Baniyas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Emirates ClubWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Baniyas SCLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Emirates ClubBaniyas SC
39.1Attack43.1
26.1Defence38.9
24.6Form33.3
32.6Power40.7
1.53xG1.81
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