GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/24/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Emirates Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Al Nasr are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Emirates ClubLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al NasrDWLDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Emirates ClubAl Nasr
39.1Attack66.7
26.1Defence33.3
24.6Form33.3
32.6Power45.3
1.32xG2.27
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