GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 12/15/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Emirates Club are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Jazira

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Emirates ClubLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 22 · avg 1.20/4.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Al-JaziraLWLDL

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Emirates ClubAl-Jazira
39.1Attack64.0
26.1Defence38.7
24.6Form42.7
32.6Power49.2
1.50xG2.76
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