GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 12/1/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Emirates Club are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (32.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Emirates ClubLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Emirates ClubAl-Ittihad Kalba
39.1Attack66.7
26.1Defence33.3
24.6Form33.3
32.6Power45.3
1.32xG2.27
View match centre →