EmelecvsSporting Cristal

Emelec are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Emelec hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.