Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Emelec are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Libertad have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00