GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/20/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Emelec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

65.0%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EmelecWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente del ValleDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EmelecIndependiente del Valle
26.4Attack81.3
61.1Defence68.0
40.3Form85.3
44.7Power78.3
0.49xG1.77
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