Emelecvs
Guayaquil City FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Emelec · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Emelec 0-0 Guayaquil City FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Emelec 0-1 Guayaquil City FC
Original prediction
Emelec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.3% | 39.6% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.3% | 30.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.4% | 30.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Projected Score
Emelec 0–0 Guayaquil City FC
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Emelec
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Emelec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EmelecWLLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guayaquil City FCLWDWL
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
31.3Attack37.4
59.6Defence56.6
42.4Form43.4
46.6Power48.2
0.87xG0.83