EmelecvsDefensa Y Justicia

Emelec are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.