Emelecvs
Club Guarani
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/8/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Emelec are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Club Guarani are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40