EM Mahdiavs
US Tataouine
COMPLETEDTunisia · Ligue 2 · 10/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EM Mahdia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
EM Mahdia 3-2 US Tataouine
Original prediction
EM Mahdia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.7% | 39.5% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.4% | 30.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.0% | 30.3% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
EM Mahdia
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
EM Mahdia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60