GGOALVIO

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 4/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Elverum are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sarpsborg 08 II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elverum

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

7.4%

Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ElverumLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Sarpsborg 08 IIWDLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ElverumSarpsborg 08 II
84.4Attack75.6
48.9Defence20.0
68.9Form33.3
66.6Power40.1
4.50xG2.08
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