Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Elverum are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Oppsal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
8.3%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20