Elverumvs
Gjøvik-Lyn
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elverum 3-0 Gjøvik-Lyn
Original prediction
Elverum
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.6% | 42.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 21.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.5% | 35.8% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40