Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Elverum are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.67 conceded, while Førde are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.1% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
68.1%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/3.67
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.33/3.67