Elversberg U19vs
Viktoria Köln U19
COMPLETEDGermany · U19 Bundesliga · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viktoria Köln U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elversberg U19 1-10 Viktoria Köln U19
Original prediction
Viktoria Köln U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 37.9% | 31.1% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 20.6% | 20.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.5% | 48.9% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Viktoria Köln U19
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Viktoria Köln U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40