Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Elva are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Saue have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 32.8-point power-rating edge (97.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Cup, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00