GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Elva are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Riga Mariners are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.5 against 44.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elva

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

11.9%

Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ElvaWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Riga MarinersLWWWD

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ElvaRiga Mariners
25.0Attack50.0
58.3Defence33.3
41.7Form41.7
44.5Power44.5
1.69xG1.42
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