Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Elva are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Luunja are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 20.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
11.6%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60