Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Elva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Flora II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
7.2%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20