Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Elva are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LDDW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Flora II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flora II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Esiliiga A, while Flora II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flora II
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Flora II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60