Elvavs
FC Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 5/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Elva are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
8.9%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00