GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 4/24/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Eltham Redbacks FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Northcote City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eltham Redbacks FCWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Northcote CityDWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Eltham Redbacks FCNorthcote City
75.0Attack59.4
45.8Defence65.2
48.6Form66.7
54.6Power64.9
1.67xG1.88
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