Victoria NPL 2Victoria NPL 2
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Eltham Redbacks FC

Eltham Redbacks FC

Home
L
02
Full time
Melbourne Srbija

Melbourne Srbija

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Eltham Redbacks FC(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Eltham Redbacks FC
40%
Draw
27%
Melbourne Srbija
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Eltham Redbacks FC
9
Melbourne Srbija
94
Defence
Eltham Redbacks FC
1
Melbourne Srbija
27
Momentum
Eltham Redbacks FC
0
Melbourne Srbija
100
Danger (xG)
Eltham Redbacks FC
0.00
Melbourne Srbija
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Eltham Redbacks FC)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Melbourne Srbija)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Eltham Redbacks FC)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Melbourne Srbija)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Eltham Redbacks FCEltham Redbacks FC
L
Melbourne SrbijaMelbourne Srbija
WW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Eltham Redbacks FC40%
Draw27%
Melbourne Srbija33%

Eltham Redbacks FC leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Eltham Redbacks FC head into this in Victoria NPL 2 fixture in mixed form (L), while Melbourne Srbija arrive in mixed form (W). Eltham Redbacks FC have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Melbourne Srbija over 1 games.

Tactically, Melbourne Srbija hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Eltham Redbacks FC defence (1/100), while Eltham Redbacks FC's attack faces a vulnerable Melbourne Srbija backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Eltham Redbacks FC have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Melbourne Srbija have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Eltham Redbacks FC and Melbourne Srbija in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Eltham Redbacks FC to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Eltham Redbacks FC 4026%, Draw 2720%, Melbourne Srbija 3254%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Eltham Redbacks FC

Eltham Redbacks FC

L
@ Melbourne Knights
15 May 2026
04
Melbourne Srbija

Melbourne Srbija

W
@ Northcote City
3 Jul 2026
32
W
vs Brunswick City
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Srbija?

GoalVio's model predicts Eltham Redbacks FC to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Srbija?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Srbija?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Eltham Redbacks FC vs Melbourne Srbija?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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