Eltersdorfvs
Wacker Burghausen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wacker Burghausen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eltersdorf 2-2 Wacker Burghausen
Original prediction
Wacker Burghausen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.3% | 35.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.2% | 26.5% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.5% | 38.0% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Wacker Burghausen
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Wacker Burghausen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40