Eltersdorfvs
Memmingen
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Eltersdorf 0-0 Memmingen, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Eltersdorf 0-2 Memmingen
Original prediction
Memmingen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.69 | 13.5% | 27.4% | 14.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.8% | 28.9% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.8% | 43.6% | -21.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Projected Score
Eltersdorf 0–0 Memmingen
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EltersdorfDDDWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MemmingenLWWWL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EltersdorfMemmingen
51.5Attack38.9
51.5Defence80.6
45.5Form66.7
50.9Power63.5
0.89xG1.09