Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202610:00Updated today
Eltersdorf

Eltersdorf

Home
W
vs
10:00
ASV Neumarkt

ASV Neumarkt

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Eltersdorf36%
Draw35%
ASV Neumarkt29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Eltersdorf
36%
Draw
35%
ASV Neumarkt
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Eltersdorf
94
ASV Neumarkt
9
Defence
Eltersdorf
66
ASV Neumarkt
66
Momentum
Eltersdorf
100
ASV Neumarkt
0
Danger (xG)
Eltersdorf
2.70
ASV Neumarkt
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.40 xG for Eltersdorf and 1.20 xG for ASV Neumarkt — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.20), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.60 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Eltersdorf's Defensive Stability (66) and ASV Neumarkt's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Eltersdorf)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (ASV Neumarkt)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Eltersdorf)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (ASV Neumarkt)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
EltersdorfEltersdorf
W
ASV NeumarktASV Neumarkt
LW

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Eltersdorf36%
Draw35%
ASV Neumarkt29%

Eltersdorf leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Eltersdorf Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Eltersdorf take on ASV Neumarkt in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows null have won 7 of the last 9 meetings — a competitive history that suggests null's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 2 of their last 9 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Eltersdorf

Eltersdorf

W
vs Großschwarzenlohe
16 May 2026
31
ASV Neumarkt

ASV Neumarkt

L
@ Ammerthal
15 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Coburg
16 May 2026
42

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Eltersdorf vs ASV Neumarkt?

GoalVio's model predicts Eltersdorf to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Eltersdorf vs ASV Neumarkt?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Eltersdorf vs ASV Neumarkt?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Eltersdorf vs ASV Neumarkt?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more