Ellas Syrosvs
Pyrgos 1968
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ellas Syros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ellas Syros 1-0 Pyrgos 1968, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ellas Syros 0-0 Pyrgos 1968
Original prediction
Ellas Syros
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.3% | 52.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 26.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.7% | 20.9% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Ellas Syros 1–0 Pyrgos 1968
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ellas Syros
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Ellas Syros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ellas SyrosWWDDW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pyrgos 1968LLL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.33/2.67
BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Ellas SyrosPyrgos 1968
47.6Attack0.0
71.4Defence0.0
53.6Form0.0
58.0Power7.0
1.64xG0.57